Freedom of Speechlessness?
“Part of the deal included speech recognition,” writes Richard Smith of New Zealand. “Apple had to drop all research into speech recognition, and was only left with enough room to be allowed to update what it already had for the current OS. As a result, OS 9, through OS X 10.4 and, yes including 10.5 Leopard, the speech recognition technology has not changed in 10 years.
“Microsoft had their own speech recognition technology in the works at the time... where is it now?”
David Marcoot says, “I had read in years past (and i forget the source) that part of this deal with Microsoft, Apple agreed to not work on voice technologies for 5 years. Whether this is true or not, I can't say. But it is interesting that in the first major upgrade to OS X and Windows since the 5 years has past, that both systems offer vastly improved voices, with Apple's being clearly superior.”
Cat and Mouse Got Your Tongue?
Is it true that Apple was forced to abandon new research into speech technologies? Microsoft just delivered new speech recognition and voice technologies in Vista, nearly a full ten years after the 1997 agreement.
Filed in 2001, and made public just a few months ago, the patent describes "speech recognition using latent semantic adaptation." It appears the research is related to learning patterns of words, so the recognizer engine can adapt to distinguish between the similar sounding phrases "recognize speech” and “wreck a nice beach," and determine the correct result based on the context.
Apple's PlainTalk
Apple has never offered software designed for dictation; PlainTalk was only intended to allow voice control of the interface, and therefore is most useful to disabled users for whom voice command is a more practical option. Few improvements obvious to users have been made to improve upon recognition or synthesis since then.
Held Back or Not Ready?
While Leopard demonstrations include a major new jump in natural sounding voice synthesis, nothing has been publicly reported about new voice recognition features.
Apple describes speech recognition as an accessibility feature, not as a keyboard replacement. This is very likely because it simply isn't a very practical alternative to the keyboard and mouse for users who can use them.
Speaking of sharing and 1997: who has a copy of the awful Gil Amelio presentation from the January Macworld Expo? It's not on YouTube.
If you've seen it elsewhere, or have some bootleg copy of Amelio’s infamous ramblings that helped impress upon the world the true depth of Apple's beleaguerment, please share the fun.
How Much Did Apple Get?
The article stated, “Apple's financial records suggest it was substantial. Despite losing $850 million the year before, over a billion dollars in 1997--of which around 600 million was related to buying NeXT, and suffering a billion dollar drop in revenues between 1997-1998, Apple mysteriously managed to maintain its investments and actually accumulated cash.”
Ian Hobson writes, “I really would have expected any large settlement like you're reporting to have been visible within the statutory accounts. A loss is a loss and a profit is a profit. Apple made losses in those years I think (or small profits). These were not just operating losses but full losses. A payment by Microsoft would have been a one-time exceptional gain which would have to show up in some profits numbers at some point, even if the actual source managed to get hidden.
“It is possible to have big losses and not lose cash. For instance, you might have a lot of inventory of machines which you have paid for and recorded as cost of goods sold, but which you end up having to sell cheaply. You can't do this for very long of course, but you can certainly do it for a while. Before the sales, the goods are shown on your balance sheet as an asset worth perhaps what you paid for them. When you sell them, the assets are reduced to zero, and cash is increased, but a loss will be recorded.
“Back then, Apple's manufacturing was far less efficient - I think they used to do it themselves. So they would have lots of work in progress inventory - RAM, hard disks, screens etc all sitting on balance sheet until they could sell the finished product at whatever price. Also R&D cost of those products would possibly have been capitalized on expectation of future sales.
“If such a problem had happened again, then you might have seen Apple's creditworthiness plunge; indeed I have recollections that it took in more cash in the form of loans at the time of the Microsoft deal, and that Microsoft's injection was indeed very helpful for its credit rating.”
Investigating Apple's Books
William Proctor did some investigation. He writes, “I reviewed Apple's 10K reports for 1997 and 1998 paying close attention to the consolidated notes to the financial statements and the cash flow statements. I am afraid your theory is probably not true.”
“First, Apple does not mention in its notes any other payments from Microsoft save the $150 million in preferred stock sold in 1997.
“Second, the cash flow statements for the two years show no sign of of ‘other’ cash inflows.
“The other part of your mystery was Apple losing almost two billion dollars over the course 1996 and 1997 yet maintaining its cash holding over that period. Again, the cash flow statement reveals while Apple was losing money on the income statement it were never running a negative operational cash flow during those years.
“Here is a direct quote from the 1998 10k regarding Apple's liquidity and capital resources:
“My take on this returns to your thoughts on Mac profitability. Even during the dark years of 1996-1998 the Mac generated enough profit margin to keep the company afloat.”
Losing Money While Earning Profits
So despite losing money due to poor operations, including those piles of unsold Perfomas and the cruel irony of a billion in backlogged orders that couldn't be delivered on time, Apple was making regular and significant profits on its hardware sales.
Reversals of Fortune
It's interesting to compare the mid-90's Apple with todays' Microsoft. Apple was bringing in large revenues from its hardware operations, but frittering its gross profits away in operational losses.
Microsoft is bringing in substantial profits from its software licensing in Windows, Office, and server operations, but has been unable to earn any profits from any of its consumer electronics operations, and still manages to burn through many billions in operational expenses.
Microsoft in 2007 has a shakier outlook than Apple did in 1997, and the Windows Mobile Killer isn’t even out yet.
Did I miss any details?
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